Trump Approval Collapse Odds Surge — Biggest Political Mover of the Day

Markets are pricing a 51% chance Trump's approval hits 35% in 2026, up a staggering 14 points in 24 hours. Combined with Democrats at 88% to win the House and recession odds ticking up to 28%, the political landscape is shifting rapidly. Oil surging 12% suggests tariff-driven supply disruption that could accelerate economic pain.