Kalshi

Will Israel and Mauritania normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

If Israel and Mauritania normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread13.0%

This Market

13.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

13.0%

Yes

Yes13.0%

No87.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$342

Open Interest

$222

Trade on Kalshi

13.0%+225.00%

Yes

High

13.0%

Low

4.0%

Open

4.0%

Kalshi•24 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+8.0%

24H

+8.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

5¢

Best Ask

12¢

Spread

7¢

SizePriceTotal

1005¢100

SizePriceTotal

10012¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY7¢$39Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$51Anonymous

Just nowBUY7¢$24Anonymous

Just nowBUY7¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY7¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL4¢$26Anonymous

Just nowBUY7¢$26Anonymous

Just nowBUY7¢$45Anonymous

Just nowSELL10¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$7Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$39Anonymous

Just nowBUY21¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY87¢$53Anonymous

Just nowSELL11¢$5Anonymous

Buys: 11Sells: 4

15 trades

Time to Resolution

303 days

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/4/2026, 2:58:16 PM

Market ID

KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-MAUR

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	13.0%	$342	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$837,266	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

100%

$837,266 volumeView →