Hubert Hurkacz to win 2026 Men's French Open
Hubert Hurkacz is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside 2026 Men's French Open Winner.
Price history
0¢ current
−50¢Contract brief
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
Hubert Hurkacz
Rank
#13 of 16
Leader
Alexander Zverev 31¢
Range
0¢-31¢
Family volume
$15.8M
Identifier
0x0eeeb4d0...4030
May 28, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$32K
Family rank
#13 of 16
16 outcomes · 2026 Men's French Open Winner
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Family volume
$15.8M
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 7, 2026
Identifier
0x0eeeb4d0…4030
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
2026 Men's French Open Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15.8M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Alexander Zverev 31¢
Current share
2%
Alexander Zverev
polymarket · 0x739e756119534672538d8df821a5b3321e2c802d80afff0c5790126be9b41281
Novak Djokovic
polymarket · 0x226e885e5380a6fd143cf8aec4d4d7ce7feece4625cc2301f450655f377f8847
Casper Ruud
polymarket · 0x018b3300ac367451ac9282425942e775f1015bb3c72b8a483153593bdb550b6e
Rafael Jodar
polymarket · 0x3e166e94d38707543b2e951c325eb9b917468b99e75294d11cd853587364d934
Francisco Cerundolo
polymarket · 0xe81351003837800d495a43eab50a2739701dab05142cccb901fbf4ee339fd4fd
Flavio Cobolli
polymarket · 0x9eaadf490bf58eb7e2d00fb257711ff462ae99197dc339b2a5cd93a577c7a2e2
Joao Fonseca
polymarket · 0x24e67fb509df7efecc1840008153634d4852c0d2725d0a6c13f2e60beb2f2e2f
Felix Auger Aliassime
polymarket · 0x90d0f0f57e38136c7ae56743e682c1eb29aa4e9f17faa4b4fdbcf94d2d6ea787
Alex De Minaur
polymarket · 0x4786c0fc83466a567a3269de1ae6fd8270b93cff2c952dd4c63a3f483853a175
Learner Tien
polymarket · 0x2d8ddd9ea670f9992c03353c033062a0014ca09166d8b15b9489ae9e4e0b6ca4
Andrey Rublev
polymarket · 0x5fd7a14573c76aff95dee08cc00dbc0e87a6c7ba374bad1300e9aff5f0b98611
Frances Tiafoe
polymarket · 0xb599d781347109dfc846c1ae5d6dd8afab6271a4ab0c792ae1c4e865a55772a1
Ben Shelton
polymarket · 0x2dba5d6bcf0ad364a444985f07286ebf2dc5bc0ee7989ef1227d14c245e301fb
Karen Khachanov
polymarket · 0x22c6957b5507bd52206dfe1a6d8129a5b9c70415fabb4ed046d3b067e3fb87ef
Stefanos Tsitsipas
polymarket · 0xd70618488dccc0e829e236a7212014752d9981c44f723295648c7fa63c22a1c3
Hubert Hurkacz
polymarket · 0x0eeeb4d04b12f8e2b937dfa6563a89b6cc08d69e8ab918c51185e3752a334030
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle
Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.