Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?

0xe81351003837800d495a43eab50a2739701dab05142cccb901fbf4ee339fd4fd · closes Jun 7, 2026

Price

Last
1¢
Bid
1¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
0¢
24h Volume
$312.34
Open Interest
$21,588.689

Indicator Stack

IndicatorValueMeaning
IY (Yes)Annualized return if held to expiry, computed from the YES side
IY (No)Annualized return on the NO side
CRICliff Risk Index — how fast the market is approaching resolution
EEEvent Overround — sum of YES prices across sibling outcomes
OverroundMulti-outcome arb signal across the event family
LASLiquidity Availability Score — null when ticker is outside the warm cron top 500
CVRContagion Velocity Rate — null when not in warm cron
RVRealized Volatility — annualized stddev of returns from 48h price history
VRVol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IARInfo Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h window)
Adj IYRisk-Adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets (low VR) and high friction (high LAS)
Residual VRVR minus expected VR from scheduled catalysts. Positive = market knows something calendar doesn't

LAS / CVR are null because this market is outside the warm-regime cron's top 500 by 24h volume. Coverage is sparse by design.

7-Day History

0 indicator snapshots · 3 regime snapshots

Regime Snapshot

Score
0.341
Label
neutral
Spread
0¢
Computed
4/13/2026, 4:39:07 PM

About this market

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to trade

View on polymarket: external link →

Or with the sf CLI: sf trade 0xe81351003837800d495a43eab50a2739701dab05142cccb901fbf4ee339fd4fd yes 100

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