SimpleFunctions

Francisco Cerundolo to win 2026 Men's French Open

Francisco Cerundolo is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside 2026 Men's French Open Winner.

Price history

1¢ current

49¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 9, 2026

Contract brief

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Jannik Sinner 74¢

Range

0¢-74¢

Family volume

$14.7M

Identifier

0xe8135100...d4fd

May 27, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 27, 2026, 11:41 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$9K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · 2026 Men's French Open Winner

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Family volume

$14.7M

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 1¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
100¢50K
100¢67
100¢50K
0¢2.7K
0¢1.3K
0¢300
0¢50
AskSize
2¢803
2¢213
2¢40
100¢190
100¢2.7K
100¢910
100¢350
100¢24K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

The 2026 French Open is scheduled for May 18 - June 7, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 French Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the French Open (https://www.rolandgarros.com/en-us/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 7, 2026

Identifier

0xe8135100…d4fd

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at .

View counterpart

Event family

2026 Men's French Open Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$14.7M

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Jannik Sinner 74¢

Current share

2%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Jannik Sinner

polymarket · 0x23e817f30871533d3bd7da01e68b802c5fccb8f44f053ef4ea5789c8a28563fe

74¢
$769K$55K0.0

Alexander Zverev

polymarket · 0x739e756119534672538d8df821a5b3321e2c802d80afff0c5790126be9b41281

8¢
$739K$26K0.0

Novak Djokovic

polymarket · 0x226e885e5380a6fd143cf8aec4d4d7ce7feece4625cc2301f450655f377f8847

6¢
$792K$24K0.0

Rafael Jodar

polymarket · 0x3e166e94d38707543b2e951c325eb9b917468b99e75294d11cd853587364d934

4¢
$377K$25K0.0

Casper Ruud

polymarket · 0x018b3300ac367451ac9282425942e775f1015bb3c72b8a483153593bdb550b6e

3¢
$514K$32K0.3

Joao Fonseca

polymarket · 0x24e67fb509df7efecc1840008153634d4852c0d2725d0a6c13f2e60beb2f2e2f

1¢
$7.6M$50K

Ben Shelton

polymarket · 0x2dba5d6bcf0ad364a444985f07286ebf2dc5bc0ee7989ef1227d14c245e301fb

1¢
$538K$7K

Learner Tien

polymarket · 0x2d8ddd9ea670f9992c03353c033062a0014ca09166d8b15b9489ae9e4e0b6ca4

1¢
$522K$27K

Andrey Rublev

polymarket · 0x5fd7a14573c76aff95dee08cc00dbc0e87a6c7ba374bad1300e9aff5f0b98611

1¢
$478K$10K

Felix Auger Aliassime

polymarket · 0x90d0f0f57e38136c7ae56743e682c1eb29aa4e9f17faa4b4fdbcf94d2d6ea787

1¢
$349K$41K

Alejandro Tabilo

polymarket · 0x42cb3a3ece95132c54127ce8c12ecde9ec586d3df6f8e0b7e850ca68366f6384

1¢
$333K$28K

Francisco Cerundolo

polymarket · 0xe81351003837800d495a43eab50a2739701dab05142cccb901fbf4ee339fd4fd

1¢
$264K$9K

Stefanos Tsitsipas

polymarket · 0xd70618488dccc0e829e236a7212014752d9981c44f723295648c7fa63c22a1c3

0¢
$366K$2K

Karen Khachanov

polymarket · 0x22c6957b5507bd52206dfe1a6d8129a5b9c70415fabb4ed046d3b067e3fb87ef

0¢
$365K$32K

Frances Tiafoe

polymarket · 0xb599d781347109dfc846c1ae5d6dd8afab6271a4ab0c792ae1c4e865a55772a1

0¢
$358K$7K

Flavio Cobolli

polymarket · 0x9eaadf490bf58eb7e2d00fb257711ff462ae99197dc339b2a5cd93a577c7a2e2

0¢
$317K$15K

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

sports

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmacro

US Recession 2025? What 1% Prediction Market Odds Get Right—and Wrong—About the Cycle

Prediction markets put 2025 US recession odds near 1%, while yield curves, economic indicators, and institutional forecasts point to much higher risk. This deep dive compares market pricing to historical base rates, Federal Reserve policy, and forecasting models to see if investors are underpricing recession risk.

Conceptmethodology

Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome

When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.