This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person/thing is on TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 Shortlist. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option which wins TIME’s Person of the Year 2025 will count as having made the shortlist only if explicitly listed. If there is no shortlist, all options will resolve ”No”. The resolution source is official information from Time.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Donald Trump | 4.0% |
Benjamin Netanyahu | 3.5% |
CurrentPope Leo XIV | 3.1% |
Sam Altman | 2.3% |
Elon Musk | 1.9% |
Jerome Powell | 1.2% |
María Corina Machado | 1.2% |
Shohei Ohtani | 1.1% |
AI | 0.8% |
Giorgia Meloni | 0.7% |
Dario Amodei | 0.5% |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. | 0.4% |
Xi Jinping | 0.4% |
Bad Bunny | 0.4% |
Charlie Kirk | 0.4% |
Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 0.3% |
Ariana Grande | 0.3% |
Vladimir Putin | 0.3% |
Ursula von der Leyen | 0.3% |
Demis Hassabis | 0.3% |
Geoffrey Hinton | 0.3% |
ChatGPT | 0.3% |
Christine Lagarde | 0.3% |
Maggie Kang | 0.3% |
Mustafa Suleyman | 0.2% |
JD Vance | 0.1% |
Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.
| 3.0% |
| $318,949 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 2.0% | $3,755 | Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $331,767 | Trade |
Kalshi | 1.0% | $319 | Trade |