Kalshi

How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?

If the U.S. federal debt increases to $38 trillion in any quarter in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread90.0%

This Market

90.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshifinalized

90.0%

Yes

Yes90.0%

No10.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$94,975

Open Interest

$69,079

Trade on Kalshi

90.0%

Yes

📊

Not enough data for selected range

Try selecting a longer time period

Kalshi•0 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL90¢$9Anonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$29Anonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$5.0KAnonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$58Anonymous

Just nowSELL83¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$155Anonymous

Just nowSELL84¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$178Anonymous

Just nowSELL82¢$100Anonymous

Just nowSELL83¢$100Anonymous

Just nowSELL81¢$97Anonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$21Anonymous

Just nowSELL96¢$129Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$13Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$37Anonymous

Buys: 0Sells: 15

15 trades

Time to Resolution

23 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated2/20/2026, 4:06:45 PM

Market ID

KXDEBTGROWTH25-25DEC31-38

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Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	90.0%	$94,975	Trade
Polymarket	34.5%	—	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?

66%

—View →

Polymarket

Will Trump announce a national housing emergency in 2025?

100%

$24,035 volumeView →