Kalshi

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.17 and 4.19 on Dec 31, 2025?

4.17% to 4.19%

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread81.5%

This Market

7.0%

Polymarket

88.5%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshifinalized

7.0%

Yes

Yes7.0%

No93.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$3,619

Open Interest

$2,571

Trade on Kalshi

7.0%-30.00%

Yes

High

29.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

10.0%

Kalshi•15 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+7.0%

24H

+7.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY6¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY7¢$12Anonymous

Just nowBUY10¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY17¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL11¢$24Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$23Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$9Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$2Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$37Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$2Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$50Anonymous

Buys: 4Sells: 11

15 trades

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 1:07:08 PM

Market ID

KXTNOTED-25DEC31-B4.18

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	7.0%	$3,619	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$17,101	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.17 and 4.19 on Dec 31, 2025?

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 4.17 and 4.19 on Dec 31, 2025?

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.3% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?