2026 American Music Award for New Artist of the Year?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 8¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 13¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$404
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXAMA-26-NAOTY-KAT
Market snapshot
2026 American Music Award for New Artist of the Year in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for 2026 American Music Award for New Artist of the Year?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $404. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 3:32 AM UTC.
Outcome
2026 American Music Award for New Artist of the Year
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
11¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 25, 2027
Reported volume
$404
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 3:32 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXAMA-26-NAOTY-KAT. Family volume: $404.
Price history
11¢ current
+7¢Orderbook snapshot
8 / 21¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If KATSEYE has won New Artist of the Year at the 2026 American Music Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 25, 2027
Identifier
KXAMA-26-NAOTY-KAT
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$404
Outcomes
1
Highest price
2026 American Music Award for New Artist of the Year 11¢
Current share
100%
2026 American Music Award for New Artist of the Year
kalshi · KXAMA-26-NAOTY-KAT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 11% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.