2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist
Geese is priced at 63¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 70¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist.
Price history
63¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Geese has been nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Geese
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Ella Langley 96¢
Range
1¢-96¢
Family volume
$56
Identifier
KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-GEE
May 28, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
64¢
Ask
70¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · 2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist
Closes
Nov 1, 2027
Family volume
$56
Orderbook snapshot
64 / 70¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Geese has been nominated for Best New Artist at the 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 1, 2027
Identifier
KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-GEE
Event family
2026 Grammy nominees for Best New Artist.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$56
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ella Langley 96¢
Current share
0%
Ella Langley
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-ELL
Geese
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-GEE
Bella Kay
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-BEL
Jessie Murph
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-JES
EsDeeKid
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-ESD
BigXthaPlug
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-BIG
Absolutely
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-ABS
Amber Mark
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-AMB
Annahstasia
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-ANN
Bar Italia
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-BAR
The Beaches
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-BEA
Black Country, New Road
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-BLA
Cassandra Coleman
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-CAS
Celeste
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-CEL
Cleo Sol
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-CLE
CMAT
kalshi · KXGRAMMYNOMNAOTY-69-CMA
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.