SimpleFunctions

Koa Peat · 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

Koa Peat is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 9 inside 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick.

Price history

0¢ current

1¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026May 13, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

Outcome

Koa Peat

Rank

#4 of 9

Leader

AJ Dybantsa 80¢

Range

0¢-80¢

Family volume

$117K

Identifier

0xaa085ad4...2d23

May 28, 2026, 4:25 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 28, 2026, 4:25 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$2K

Family rank

#4 of 9

9 outcomes · 2026 NBA Draft: 1st Overall pick

Closes

Jun 25, 2026

Family volume

$117K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
0¢575
6¢77
6¢120
8¢20
8¢30
10¢100
100¢156
100¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft. If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 25, 2026

Identifier

0xaa085ad4…2d23

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 51¢, -51¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

low

Event type

sports

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.