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Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Mar 18, 2026 meeting? | SimpleFunctions
Kalshi
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Mar 18, 2026 meeting?
4.25%
⚡
Arbitrage Opportunity Detected
Price Spread
48.3%
This Market
50.0%
Polymarket
1.7%
Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price
Kalshi
active
50.0%
Yes
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
24h Volume
$0
Total Volume
$0
Open Interest
$0
Trade on Kalshi
50.0%
+Infinity%
Yes
High
50.0%
Low
0.0%
Open
0.0%
1D
1W
1M
3M
6M
1Y
ALL
Kalshi
•
30 data points
Live
Price Momentum
1H
+50.0%
24H
+50.0%
7D
+50.0%
Order Book
kalshi
Best Bid
0¢
|
Best Ask
4¢
Spread
0¢
Size
Price
Total
No bids
Size
Price
Total
98.0M
4¢
98.0M
Bid Depth:
0
Ask Depth:
98.0M
1 levels
Recent Trades
kalshi
No recent trades available
Time to Resolution
67 days
Liquidity Score
1/5
Low
Market Details
Venue
Kalshi
Status
active
Outcome Type
binary
Last Updated
1/16/2026, 11:57:36 PM
Market ID
KXFED-26MAR-T4.25
⚡
Cross-Platform Match
Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.
Cross-Platform Comparison
Cross-Platform Prices
Outcome: “Yes”
Venue
Price
Volume
Action
Kalshi
Current
50.0%
$0
Trade
Polymarket
6.0%
$573
Trade
Same Market on Other Platforms
Polymarket
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
94%
No
$573 volume
View →
Polymarket
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
98%
No
$10,542 volume
View →
Polymarket
1.7%
$10,542
Trade