Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Mar 18, 2026 meeting?

4.25%

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread47.5%

This Market

50.0%

Polymarket

2.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

50.0%

Yes

Yes50.0%

No50.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

Open Interest

Trade on Kalshi

50.0%+Infinity%

Yes

High

50.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

0.0%

Kalshi•20 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+49.0%

24H

+49.0%

+50.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

0¢

Best Ask

1¢

Spread

0¢

SizePriceTotal

No bids

SizePriceTotal

1001¢100

Bid Depth: 0Ask Depth: 100

1 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY1¢$457Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$43Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$187Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$46Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$187Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$449Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$28Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$467Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$2.8KAnonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$93Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$93Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$187Anonymous

Buys: 13Sells: 0

13 trades

Time to Resolution

22 days

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/28/2026, 9:19:03 AM

Market ID

KXFED-26MAR-T4.25

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	50.0%	$0	Trade
Polymarket	2.5%	$13,579	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?

98%

$13,579 volumeView →