Kalshi

Will Trump recognize Palestine in 2025?

If the United States recognizes a state of Palestine before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread30.5%

This Market

1.0%

Polymarket

31.5%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshifinalized

1.0%

Yes

Yes1.0%

No99.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$53,522

Open Interest

$21,441

Trade on Kalshi

1.0%+0.00%

Yes

High

2.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

1.0%

Kalshi•14 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+1.0%

24H

+1.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL1¢$111Anonymous

Just nowBUY2¢$41Anonymous

Just nowBUY2¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$13Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$50Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$1.1KAnonymous

Just nowBUY8¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$3.1KAnonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$176Anonymous

Just nowBUY10¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$100Anonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$2Anonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$1Anonymous

Buys: 7Sells: 8

15 trades

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/14/2026, 1:28:52 AM

Market ID

KXPALESTINE-25

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	1.0%	$53,522	Trade
Polymarket	31.5%	$233	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?

69%

$233 volumeView →