Kalshi

Will Deepseek have a top-ranked AI model before 2026?

If Deepseek has a sole #1 ranked AI model (checked at 10am ET daily) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshifinalized

1.0%

Yes

Yes1.0%

No99.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$244,171

Open Interest

$151,801

Trade on Kalshi

1.0%-50.00%

Yes

High

3.0%

Low

1.0%

Open

2.0%

Kalshi•17 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY1¢$93Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$233Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$100Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$93Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$166Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$467Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$897Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$93Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$432Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$2.3KAnonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$1.0KAnonymous

Buys: 15Sells: 0

15 trades

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

4/5

High

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/15/2026, 6:05:23 AM

Market ID

KXTOPAI-26-JAN01-D

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	1.0%	$244,171	Trade
Polymarket	1.4%	$1,371	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of January 2026?

99%

$1,371 volumeView →

Polymarket

Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of December 2025?

100%

$14,766 volumeView →