Kalshi

Will Barack Obama go on the Dwarkesh Podcast before Jan 1, 2026?

If Barack Obama goes on the Dwarkesh Podcast between Dec 7, 2024 and Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread45.5%

This Market

50.0%

Polymarket

4.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshifinalized

50.0%

Yes

Yes50.0%

No50.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

Open Interest

Trade on Kalshi

50.0%+2400.00%

Yes

High

50.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

2.0%

Kalshi•17 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+50.0%

24H

+50.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

No recent trades available

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 1:53:48 AM

Market ID

KXDWARKESH-26JAN01-BO

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Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	50.0%	$0	Trade
Polymarket	4.5%	$1,146	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?

95%

$1,146 volumeView →