Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?

2.75%

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread70.5%

This Market

76.0%

Polymarket

5.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

76.0%

Yes

Yes76.0%

No24.0%

24h Volume

$12

Total Volume

$438

Open Interest

$316

Trade on Kalshi

76.0%+8.57%

Yes

High

80.0%

Low

46.0%

Open

70.0%

Kalshi•26 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

-4.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

72¢

Best Ask

77¢

Spread

5¢

SizePriceTotal

10072¢100

SizePriceTotal

10077¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL77¢$6Anonymous

Just nowSELL76¢$6Anonymous

Just nowBUY80¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL77¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY80¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL77¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY80¢$62Anonymous

Just nowBUY80¢$12Anonymous

Just nowBUY78¢$8Anonymous

Just nowBUY77¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL77¢$13Anonymous

Just nowSELL77¢$35Anonymous

Just nowSELL77¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY79¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY80¢$1Anonymous

Buys: 8Sells: 7

15 trades

Time to Resolution

204 days

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/3/2026, 6:29:32 AM

Market ID

KXFED-26SEP-T2.75

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	76.0%	$438	Trade
Polymarket	5.5%	$7,949	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?

94%

$7,949 volumeView →