Kalshi

Will Anthropic release an "AI Safety Level 3" model before 2027?

If Anthropic releases a model it designates as AI Safety Level 3 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread82.0%

This Market

82.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshifinalized

82.0%

Yes

Yes82.0%

No18.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$56,531

Open Interest

$10,996

Trade on Kalshi

82.0%

Yes

📊

Not enough data for selected range

Try selecting a longer time period

Kalshi•0 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+82.0%

24H

+82.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL82¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY86¢$79Anonymous

Just nowSELL85¢$11Anonymous

Just nowSELL85¢$39Anonymous

Just nowBUY86¢$21Anonymous

Just nowBUY85¢$14Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL80¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL80¢$9Anonymous

Just nowBUY86¢$100Anonymous

Just nowBUY84¢$450Anonymous

Just nowBUY82¢$200Anonymous

Just nowBUY81¢$10Anonymous

Buys: 10Sells: 5

15 trades

Time to Resolution

350 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/15/2026, 9:49:47 PM

Market ID

KXASL3-27

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Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	82.0%	$56,531	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$214,630	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?

100%

$214,630 volumeView →