Kalshi

Will Democratic win the House race for NM-2?

:: Current incumbent: Gabriel Vasquez

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread15.5%

This Market

73.0%

Polymarket

57.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

73.0%

Yes

Yes73.0%

No27.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$1,384

Open Interest

$1,256

Trade on Kalshi

73.0%+1.39%

Yes

High

79.0%

Low

72.0%

Open

72.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

73¢

Best Ask

79¢

Spread

6¢

SizePriceTotal

334.5K73¢334.5K

SizePriceTotal

334.5K79¢334.5K

Bid Depth: 334.5KAsk Depth: 334.5K

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL73¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY79¢$78Anonymous

Just nowBUY78¢$32Anonymous

Just nowBUY79¢$16Anonymous

Just nowSELL72¢$12Anonymous

Just nowSELL72¢$16Anonymous

Just nowSELL72¢$2Anonymous

Just nowSELL72¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL72¢$18Anonymous

Just nowSELL72¢$8Anonymous

Just nowSELL73¢$6Anonymous

Just nowBUY79¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY78¢$6Anonymous

Just nowSELL73¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL72¢$30Anonymous

Buys: 5Sells: 10

15 trades

Time to Resolution

655 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/17/2026, 11:08:45 AM

Market ID

HOUSENM2-26-D

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	73.0%	$1,384	Trade
Polymarket	57.5%	$140	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the MI-03 House seat?

57%

Yes

$140 volumeView →