Kalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their January 2028 meeting?

Cut >25bps

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread90.1%

This Market

8.0%

Polymarket

98.1%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshiactive

8.0%

Yes

Yes8.0%

No92.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$50

Open Interest

$50

Trade on Kalshi

8.0%+700.00%

Yes

High

8.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

1.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+8.0%

24H

+8.0%

+7.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

0¢

Best Ask

37¢

Spread

0¢

SizePriceTotal

No bids

SizePriceTotal

98.0M37¢98.0M

Bid Depth: 0Ask Depth: 98.0M

1 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY8¢$50Anonymous

Buys: 1Sells: 0

1 trades

Time to Resolution

831 days

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/15/2026, 8:48:41 PM

Market ID

KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-C26

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 3 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	8.0%	$50	Trade
Polymarket	1.5%	$30,360	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?

99%

$30,360 volumeView →

Polymarket

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

99%

$315,964 volumeView →

Polymarket

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

98%

Yes