Kalshi

Will Anthropic have a top-ranked AI model before 2026?

If Anthropic has a sole #1 ranked AI model (checked at 10am ET daily) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread22.5%

This Market

1.0%

Polymarket

23.5%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshifinalized

1.0%

Yes

Yes1.0%

No99.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$1,945,345

Open Interest

$1,171,048

Trade on Kalshi

1.0%

Yes

📊

Not enough data for selected range

Try selecting a longer time period

Kalshi•0 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY1¢$66Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$1.1KAnonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$935Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$930Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$1.9KAnonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$2.0KAnonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$467Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$114Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$46Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$93Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$187Anonymous

Just nowBUY1¢$10.0KAnonymous

Buys: 15Sells: 0

15 trades

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

5/5

High

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/1/2026, 12:51:33 PM

Market ID

KXTOPAI-26-JAN01-AN

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	1.0%	$1,945,345	Trade
Polymarket	23.5%	$3,395	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?

77%

$3,395 volumeView →