Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Apr 29, 2026 meeting?

3.50%

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread37.5%

This Market

44.0%

Polymarket

6.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

44.0%

Yes

Yes44.0%

No56.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$3,008

Open Interest

$1,599

Trade on Kalshi

44.0%+4.76%

Yes

High

44.0%

Low

30.0%

Open

42.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+5.0%

24H

+5.0%

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

39¢

Best Ask

46¢

Spread

7¢

SizePriceTotal

54.1M39¢54.1M

SizePriceTotal

54.1M46¢54.1M

Bid Depth: 54.1MAsk Depth: 54.1M

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL44¢$10Anonymous

Just nowSELL44¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY43¢$61Anonymous

Just nowBUY42¢$32Anonymous

Just nowBUY43¢$12Anonymous

Just nowBUY41¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL30¢$29Anonymous

Just nowSELL31¢$33Anonymous

Just nowSELL33¢$26Anonymous

Just nowSELL39¢$250Anonymous

Just nowSELL31¢$32Anonymous

Just nowSELL32¢$36Anonymous

Just nowSELL32¢$16Anonymous

Just nowSELL41¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL40¢$32Anonymous

Buys: 4Sells: 11

15 trades

Time to Resolution

109 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/17/2026, 12:02:52 AM

Market ID

KXFED-26APR-T3.50

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	44.0%	$3,008	Trade
Polymarket	6.5%	$865	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

94%

$865 volumeView →