Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jan 28, 2026 meeting?

3.25%

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread91.5%

This Market

98.0%

Polymarket

6.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

98.0%

Yes

Yes98.0%

No2.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$2,397

Open Interest

$2,370

Trade on Kalshi

98.0%+5.38%

Yes

High

99.0%

Low

80.0%

Open

93.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

0.0%

-1.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

98¢

Best Ask

0¢

Spread

0¢

SizePriceTotal

51.6M98¢51.6M

SizePriceTotal

No asks

Bid Depth: 51.6MAsk Depth: 0

1 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL98¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$4Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$12Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$16Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$4Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$125Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$25Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$38Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$111Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$40Anonymous

Buys: 1Sells: 14

15 trades

Time to Resolution

18 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/17/2026, 12:11:53 AM

Market ID

KXFED-26JAN-T3.25

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	98.0%	$2,397	Trade
Polymarket	6.5%	$865	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

94%

$865 volumeView →