Kalshi

Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Mar 17, 2027 meeting?

3.25%

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread33.8%

This Market

37.0%

Polymarket

3.3%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

37.0%

Yes

Yes37.0%

No63.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$1,990

Open Interest

$58

Trade on Kalshi

37.0%+2.78%

Yes

High

38.0%

Low

28.0%

Open

36.0%

Kalshi•28 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+5.0%

24H

+5.0%

+8.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

31¢

Best Ask

37¢

Spread

6¢

SizePriceTotal

10031¢100

SizePriceTotal

10037¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY38¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL32¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY37¢$4Anonymous

Just nowSELL38¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY38¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY38¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY39¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL32¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL32¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY38¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY38¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY38¢$1Anonymous

Buys: 11Sells: 4

15 trades

Time to Resolution

387 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated2/27/2026, 2:57:17 AM

Market ID

KXFED-27MAR-T3.25

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	37.0%	$1,990	Trade
Polymarket	3.3%	$4,107	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

97%

$4,107 volumeView →