Kalshi

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the the next Colombian presidential election?

:: Pacto Histórico

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread32.2%

This Market

35.0%

Polymarket

2.8%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

35.0%

Yes

Yes35.0%

No65.0%

24h Volume

$122

Total Volume

$9,028

Open Interest

$2,833

Trade on Kalshi

35.0%-5.41%

Yes

High

43.0%

Low

24.0%

Open

37.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

-2.0%

24H

-2.0%

-1.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

34¢

Best Ask

38¢

Spread

4¢

SizePriceTotal

894.2K34¢894.2K

SizePriceTotal

894.2K38¢894.2K

Bid Depth: 894.2KAsk Depth: 894.2K

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL35¢$122Anonymous

Just nowBUY37¢$32Anonymous

Just nowBUY36¢$296Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$4Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$8Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$6Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$12Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$13Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$12Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$22Anonymous

Just nowBUY35¢$10Anonymous

Buys: 14Sells: 1

15 trades

Time to Resolution

500 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 1:59:35 AM

Market ID

KXCOLOMBIAPRES-26-ICAS

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 3 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	35.0%	$9,028	Trade
Polymarket	50.0%	$0	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Candidate J win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will Candidate N win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

97%