Kalshi

Will Rob Ashton become the next leader of New Democratic Party before Apr 1, 2026?

If Rob Ashton is announced as the first new non-interim leader of the New Democratic Party before Apr 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread23.5%

This Market

4.0%

Polymarket

27.5%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshiactive

4.0%

Yes

Yes4.0%

No96.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$853

Open Interest

$480

Trade on Kalshi

4.0%-33.33%

Yes

High

12.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

6.0%

Kalshi•17 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+3.0%

24H

+3.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

1¢

Best Ask

5¢

Spread

4¢

SizePriceTotal

1001¢100

SizePriceTotal

1005¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL4¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL11¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL17¢$40Anonymous

Just nowSELL19¢$19Anonymous

Just nowSELL19¢$40Anonymous

Just nowSELL20¢$61Anonymous

Just nowSELL21¢$22Anonymous

Just nowSELL21¢$10Anonymous

Just nowSELL21¢$42Anonymous

Just nowSELL21¢$32Anonymous

Just nowSELL19¢$66Anonymous

Just nowSELL20¢$44Anonymous

Just nowBUY15¢$200Anonymous

Buys: 1Sells: 14

15 trades

Time to Resolution

35 days

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/3/2026, 6:07:41 PM

Market ID

KXNDPLEADER-26APR01-RASH

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	4.0%	$853	Trade
Polymarket	27.5%	$3	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?

73%

$3 volumeView →