Kalshi

How high will be national debt be during the Trump Administration?

If the U.S. federal debt increases to $37 trillion in any quarter in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread98.0%

This Market

98.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshifinalized

98.0%

Yes

Yes98.0%

No2.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$3,228

Open Interest

$2,234

Trade on Kalshi

98.0%

Yes

📊

Not enough data for selected range

Try selecting a longer time period

Kalshi•0 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+98.0%

24H

+98.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL98¢$50Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$91Anonymous

Just nowSELL98¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$48Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL97¢$10Anonymous

Just nowSELL99¢$93Anonymous

Just nowSELL94¢$15Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$100Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY98¢$2Anonymous

Buys: 7Sells: 8

15 trades

Time to Resolution

25 days

Liquidity Score

2/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/4/2026, 9:47:10 AM

Market ID

KXDEBTGROWTH25-25DEC31-37

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Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	98.0%	$3,228	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$247,715	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?

100%

$247,715 volumeView →