Kalshi

What will the average number of measles cases be during the Trump Administration?

If the average number of measles cases annually from 2025 to 2028 is at least 5000, then the market resolves to Yes.

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread52.0%

This Market

48.0%

Polymarket

100.0%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshiactive

48.0%

Yes

Yes48.0%

No52.0%

24h Volume

$142

Total Volume

$15,749

Open Interest

$9,016

Trade on Kalshi

48.0%+17.07%

Yes

High

65.0%

Low

41.0%

Open

41.0%

Kalshi•29 data points

Live

Price Momentum

-1.0%

24H

-1.0%

-14.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

43¢

Best Ask

48¢

Spread

5¢

SizePriceTotal

10043¢100

SizePriceTotal

10048¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY48¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY48¢$50Anonymous

Just nowSELL44¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL43¢$8Anonymous

Just nowSELL43¢$4Anonymous

Just nowSELL42¢$21Anonymous

Just nowSELL43¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY48¢$40Anonymous

Just nowBUY48¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY49¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY49¢$4Anonymous

Just nowSELL43¢$12Anonymous

Just nowSELL43¢$38Anonymous

Just nowSELL43¢$8Anonymous

Just nowSELL44¢$5Anonymous

Buys: 6Sells: 9

15 trades

Time to Resolution

1035 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/2/2026, 6:10:48 PM

Market ID

KXAVGMEASLESDJT-29-5000

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	48.0%	$15,749	Trade
Polymarket	100.0%	$138,451	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

100%

Yes

$138,451 volumeView →