Kalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their April 2026 meeting?

Cut 25bps

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread86.0%

This Market

14.0%

Polymarket

100.0%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshiactive

14.0%

Yes

Yes14.0%

No86.0%

24h Volume

$5,232

Total Volume

$119,708

Open Interest

$80,472

Trade on Kalshi

14.0%-46.15%

Yes

High

28.0%

Low

13.0%

Open

26.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

-1.0%

24H

-1.0%

-3.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

13¢

Best Ask

15¢

Spread

2¢

SizePriceTotal

10013¢100

SizePriceTotal

10015¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY14¢$285Anonymous

Just nowBUY14¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$312Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$228Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$66Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$145Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL12¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$60Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY13¢$33Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$51Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$224Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$864Anonymous

Buys: 14Sells: 1

15 trades

Time to Resolution

149 days

Liquidity Score

4/5

High

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/2/2026, 3:17:59 AM

Market ID

KXFEDDECISION-26APR-C25

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	14.0%	$119,708	Trade
Polymarket	100.0%	$46,035	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

100%

Yes

$865,457 volumeView →