Kalshi

Will Sam Altman be granted an equity stake in OpenAI before Jan 1, 2026?

If Sam Altman is granted an ownership stake in OpenAI before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread42.5%

This Market

4.0%

Polymarket

46.5%

Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price

Kalshifinalized

4.0%

Yes

Yes4.0%

No96.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$54,268

Open Interest

$22,357

Trade on Kalshi

4.0%+33.33%

Yes

High

6.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

3.0%

Kalshi•17 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+4.0%

24H

+4.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY3¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$15Anonymous

Just nowBUY4¢$221Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$56Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$53Anonymous

Just nowBUY4¢$73Anonymous

Just nowBUY2¢$623Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY2¢$55Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$50Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$50Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$31Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$93Anonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$17Anonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$16Anonymous

Buys: 10Sells: 5

15 trades

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/8/2026, 4:42:03 AM

Market ID

KXALTMANEQUITY-26-JAN01

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	4.0%	$54,268	Trade
Polymarket	46.5%	$14	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

54%

$14 volumeView →