Kalshi

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.31 on Dec 31, 2025?

4.32% or above

Kalshifinalized

5.0%

Yes

Yes5.0%

No95.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$31,597

Open Interest

$8,860

Trade on Kalshi

5.0%-44.44%

Yes

High

9.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

9.0%

Kalshi•15 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+5.0%

24H

+5.0%

Order Book

kalshi

No order book data available

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY5¢$200Anonymous

Just nowSELL3¢$187Anonymous

Just nowSELL4¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$146Anonymous

Just nowSELL3¢$7Anonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL1¢$100Anonymous

Just nowSELL2¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY4¢$145Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$8Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$14Anonymous

Just nowBUY99¢$36Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$26Anonymous

Just nowBUY5¢$1.0KAnonymous

Just nowBUY4¢$24Anonymous

Buys: 8Sells: 7

15 trades

Time to Resolution

Expired

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusfinalized

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 1:11:07 PM

Market ID

KXTNOTED-25DEC31-T4.31

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	5.0%	$31,597	Trade
Polymarket	0.1%	$47,224	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.31 on Dec 31, 2025?

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?

Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be above 4.31 on Dec 31, 2025?

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025?

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?