Kalshi

Will Emmanuel Macron leave President of France before Jan 1, 2027?

:: President of France

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread16.0%

This Market

16.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

16.0%

Yes

Yes16.0%

No84.0%

24h Volume

$96

Total Volume

$13,675

Open Interest

$9,134

Trade on Kalshi

16.0%-56.76%

Yes

High

41.0%

Low

10.0%

Open

37.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+1.0%

24H

+1.0%

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

14¢

Best Ask

16¢

Spread

2¢

SizePriceTotal

1.5M14¢1.5M

SizePriceTotal

1.5M16¢1.5M

Bid Depth: 1.5MAsk Depth: 1.5M

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY16¢$29Anonymous

Just nowSELL14¢$25Anonymous

Just nowBUY15¢$31Anonymous

Just nowBUY16¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY16¢$27Anonymous

Just nowBUY15¢$6Anonymous

Just nowBUY16¢$6Anonymous

Just nowBUY16¢$14Anonymous

Just nowBUY16¢$11Anonymous

Just nowBUY15¢$966Anonymous

Just nowBUY15¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY15¢$12Anonymous

Just nowSELL13¢$666Anonymous

Just nowSELL13¢$28Anonymous

Just nowSELL14¢$33Anonymous

Buys: 11Sells: 4

15 trades

Time to Resolution

356 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 7:13:05 PM

Market ID

KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-EMACFRA

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	16.0%	$13,675	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$58,821	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?

100%

$58,821 volumeView →