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Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting? | SimpleFunctions
Kalshi
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?
Cut 25bps
⚡
Arbitrage Opportunity Detected
Price Spread
70.0%
This Market
30.0%
Polymarket
100.0%
Consider selling on Polymarket at higher price
Kalshi
active
30.0%
Yes
Yes
30.0%
No
70.0%
24h Volume
$0
Total Volume
$399
Open Interest
$217
Trade on Kalshi
30.0%
+3.45%
Yes
High
39.0%
Low
23.0%
Open
29.0%
1D
1W
1M
3M
6M
1Y
ALL
Kalshi
•
26 data points
Live
Price Momentum
1H
+1.0%
24H
-5.0%
7D
0.0%
Order Book
kalshi
Best Bid
29¢
|
Best Ask
35¢
Spread
6¢
Size
Price
Total
100
29¢
100
Size
Price
Total
100
35¢
100
Bid Depth:
100
Ask Depth:
100
2 levels
Recent Trades
kalshi
Time
Side
Price
Size
Trader
Just now
BUY
35¢
$45
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
30¢
$1
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$1
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
30¢
$15
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$3
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$3
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$3
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$3
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
35¢
$3
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
29¢
$20
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
31¢
$58
Anonymous
Just now
SELL
33¢
$5
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
39¢
$113
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
38¢
$5
Anonymous
Just now
BUY
38¢
$1
Anonymous
Buys:
10
Sells:
5
15 trades
Time to Resolution
240 days
Liquidity Score
1/5
Low
Market Details
Venue
Kalshi
Status
active
Outcome Type
binary
Last Updated
2/26/2026, 3:51:04 AM
Market ID
KXFEDDECISION-26JUL-C25
⚡
Cross-Platform Match
Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.
Cross-Platform Comparison
Cross-Platform Prices
Outcome: “No”
Venue
Price
Volume
Action
Kalshi
Current
30.0%
$399
Trade
Polymarket
0.0%
$1,232,569
Trade
Same Market on Other Platforms
Polymarket
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
100%
No
$1,232,569 volume
View →
Polymarket
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
100%
No
$235,065,167 volume
View →
Polymarket
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 23, 2026?
100%
No
Polymarket
0.0%
$235,065,167
Trade
Polymarket
0.0%
$14,428
Trade
Polymarket
100.0%
$37,536
Trade
Polymarket
14.0%
$861,124
Trade
$14,428 volume
View →
Polymarket
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?
100%
Yes
$37,536 volume
View →
Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
86%
No
$861,124 volume
View →