Eric Swalwell · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2
Eric Swalwell is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
If Eric Swalwell finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Eric Swalwell
Rank
#7 of 11
Leader
Steve Hilton 44¢
Range
1¢-44¢
Family volume
$131
Identifier
KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-ESWA
May 28, 2026, 2:39 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$300
Family rank
#7 of 11
11 outcomes · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Family volume
$131
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Eric Swalwell finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 California gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 2, 2027
Identifier
KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-ESWA
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at —.
Event family
KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$131
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Steve Hilton 44¢
Current share
0%
Steve Hilton
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-SHIL
Xavier Becerra
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-XBEC
Tom Steyer
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-TSTE
Katie Porter
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-KPOR
Ché Ahn
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-CAHN
Chad Bianco
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-CBIA
Eric Swalwell
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-ESWA
Alex Padilla
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-APAD
Antonio Villaraigosa
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-AVIL
Butch Ware
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-BWAR
Matt Mahan
kalshi · KXCAGOV2ND-26JUN02-2-MMAH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.