Jean-Paul Bourgeois to win Chopped Castaways
Jean-Paul Bourgeois is priced at 88¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 77¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 12 inside KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31.
Price history
88¢ current
+82¢Contract brief
If Jean-Paul Bourgeois is officially declared the winner of Chopped Castaways: Season 1 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Jean-Paul Bourgeois
Rank
#1 of 12
Leader
Jean-Paul Bourgeois 77¢
Range
1¢-77¢
Family volume
$572
Identifier
KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-JEA
May 29, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
77¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
6¢
24h volume
$99
Family rank
#1 of 12
12 outcomes · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Family volume
$572
Orderbook snapshot
77 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Jean-Paul Bourgeois is officially declared the winner of Chopped Castaways: Season 1 before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 7, 2027
Identifier
KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-JEA
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 60¢, +28¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$572
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Jean-Paul Bourgeois 77¢
Current share
17%
Jean-Paul Bourgeois
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-JEA
Paulette Tejada
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-PAU
Ara Zada
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-ARA
James Peck
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-JAM
Hannah Flora
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-HAN
Barry Owens
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-BAR
Carrie Baird
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-CAR
Cate Meade
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-CAT
Dwight Hudgins
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-DWI
Logan Sandoval
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-LOG
Stephen Kina
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-STE
Sunny Moody
kalshi · KXCHOPPEDCASTAWAYS-26DEC31-SUN
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 88% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.