John Rodgers · KXGOVVTNOMR-262
John Rodgers is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXGOVVTNOMR-262.
Price history
22¢ current
+17¢Contract brief
If John Rodgers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Rodgers
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Phil Scott 75¢
Range
17¢-75¢
Family volume
$15K
Identifier
KXGOVVTNOMR-262-JROD
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXGOVVTNOMR-262
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Family volume
$15K
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If John Rodgers wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 Vermont Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXGOVVTNOMR-262-JROD
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 13¢, +9¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXGOVVTNOMR-262.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$15K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Phil Scott 75¢
Current share
7%
Phil Scott
kalshi · KXGOVVTNOMR-262-PSCO
John Rodgers
kalshi · KXGOVVTNOMR-262-JROD
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.