Shubman Gill in IPL Orange Cap
Shubman Gill is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 65¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 4 inside Who will win IPL Orange Cap.
Price history
10¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If Shubman Gill wins IPL Orange Cap in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Shubman Gill
Rank
#3 of 4
Leader
Sai Sudharsan 26¢
Range
5¢-26¢
Family volume
$589
Identifier
KXIPLORANGECAP-26-SGIL
May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
65¢
24h volume
$4
Family rank
#3 of 4
4 outcomes · Who will win IPL Orange Cap
Closes
Jun 22, 2026
Family volume
$589
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 76¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Shubman Gill wins IPL Orange Cap in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 22, 2026
Identifier
KXIPLORANGECAP-26-SGIL
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 39¢, -29¢ versus this page.
Event family
Who will win IPL Orange Cap.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$589
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Sai Sudharsan 26¢
Current share
1%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.