SimpleFunctions

Vaibhav Sooryavanshi in IPL Orange Cap

Vaibhav Sooryavanshi is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 34¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside Who will win IPL Orange Cap.

Price history

43¢ current

+42¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 20, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

If Vaibhav Sooryavanshi wins IPL Orange Cap in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Vaibhav Sooryavanshi

Rank

#1 of 4

Leader

Vaibhav Sooryavanshi 26¢

Range

5¢-26¢

Family volume

$589

Identifier

KXIPLORANGECAP-26-VSOO

May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Implied probability

43¢
Latest venue quote
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 15m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

34¢

24h volume

$163

Family rank

#1 of 4

4 outcomes · Who will win IPL Orange Cap

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Family volume

$589

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 60¢

Kalshi
34¢ spread
BidSize
26¢5
24¢5
22¢2
20¢199
10¢10
AskSize
60¢10
61¢5
65¢5
94¢83
95¢40

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Vaibhav Sooryavanshi wins IPL Orange Cap in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Identifier

KXIPLORANGECAP-26-VSOO

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 37¢, +6¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Who will win IPL Orange Cap.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$589

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Vaibhav Sooryavanshi 26¢

Current share

28%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4493.5%
554.7%
Adj IY
0%
3
RV
5570%
VR
7.78
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
-0.4%
LAS
1.42

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.