Will Reputation (Taylor's Version) be announced this year
Will Reputation (Taylor's Version) be announced this year is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 8¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
26¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Reputation (Taylor's Version) has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Reputation (Taylor's Version) be announced this year
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$73
Identifier
KXNEWTAYLOR-R-27
Jun 7, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 24m ago
Implied probability
Bid
24¢
Ask
32¢
Spread
8¢
24h volume
$73
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$73
Orderbook snapshot
24 / 32¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Reputation (Taylor's Version) has been announced before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXNEWTAYLOR-R-27
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 71¢, -45¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXNEWTAYLOR-R-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$73
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Reputation (Taylor's Version) be announced this year 24¢
Current share
100%
Will Reputation (Taylor's Version) be announced this year
kalshi · KXNEWTAYLOR-R-27
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.