SimpleFunctions

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026 is priced at 72¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 69¢ bid, 74¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

72¢ current

+25¢
50¢75¢
May 23, 2026Jun 8, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Outcome

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$79

Identifier

0xc5c6b04f...ca03

Jun 8, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

72¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

69¢

Ask

74¢

Spread

24h volume

$79

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Family volume

$79

Orderbook snapshot

69 / 74¢

Polymarket
5¢ spread
BidSize
69¢30
68¢86
64¢473
61¢18
60¢607
56¢400
50¢800
35¢73
AskSize
74¢13
75¢100
76¢163
77¢200
78¢50
79¢50
80¢200
82¢61

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift releases a re-recorded version of her debut album "Taylor Swift" by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. A qualifying album must either have some form of the designation "Taylor's Version" in the title or be acknowledged by Taylor Swift as a re-recording of the relevant album. "Taylor's Version" re-recordings of albums other than the album titled "Taylor Swift" will not qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

0xc5c6b04f…ca03

SF Signal
SF Index
212.37
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at 53¢, +19¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Related outcomes.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$79

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026 72¢

Current share

100%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

69.0%
456.4%
Adj IY
212%
3
LAS
0.07

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.