Alexis Mac Allister · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG
Alexis Mac Allister is priced at 51¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 94¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXWCSQUAD-26ARG.
Price history
51¢ current
+50¢Contract brief
If Alexis Mac Allister is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Alexis Mac Allister
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Facundo Medina 44¢
Range
1¢-44¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AMAC
May 25, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
94¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Alexis Mac Allister is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AMAC
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 60¢, -9¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Facundo Medina 44¢
Current share
—
Facundo Medina
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMED
Juan Musso
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JMUS
Emiliano Buendia
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EBUE
Alejandro Garnacho
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AGAR
Giovani Lo Celso
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GLOC
Alexis Mac Allister
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AMAC
Cristian Romero
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-CROM
Enzo Fernandez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-ENFE
Exequiel Palacios
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EPAL
Jose Manuel Lopez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JLOP
Franco Mastantuono
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMAS
Giuliano Simeone
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GSIM
Emiliano Martinez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EMAR
Gonzalo Montiel
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GMON
Gianluca Prestianni
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GPRE
Julian Alvarez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JALV
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.