Exequiel Palacios · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG
Exequiel Palacios is priced at 90¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 3¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 95¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXWCSQUAD-26ARG.
Price history
90¢ current
+89¢Contract brief
If Exequiel Palacios is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Exequiel Palacios
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Juan Musso 50¢
Range
1¢-50¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EPAL
May 24, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
3¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
95¢
Reported volume
$188
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
3 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Exequiel Palacios is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 16, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EPAL
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 92¢, -2¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXWCSQUAD-26ARG.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Juan Musso 50¢
Current share
—
Juan Musso
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JMUS
Facundo Medina
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMED
Emiliano Buendia
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EBUE
Alejandro Garnacho
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AGAR
Giovani Lo Celso
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GLOC
Exequiel Palacios
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EPAL
Cristian Romero
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-CROM
Jose Manuel Lopez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JLOP
Franco Mastantuono
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMAS
Giuliano Simeone
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GSIM
Alexis Mac Allister
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-AMAC
Emiliano Martinez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-EMAR
Enzo Fernandez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-ENFE
Gonzalo Montiel
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GMON
Gianluca Prestianni
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-GPRE
Julian Alvarez
kalshi · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-JALV
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 90% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.