SimpleFunctions

Franco Mastantuono · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG

Franco Mastantuono is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 96¢ ask, 94¢ spread. This outcome ranks #11 of 16 inside KXWCSQUAD-26ARG.

Price history

27¢ current

+26¢
0¢25¢
May 14, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Franco Mastantuono is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Franco Mastantuono

Rank

#11 of 16

Leader

Facundo Medina 44¢

Range

1¢-44¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMAS

May 25, 2026, 12:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 12:23 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

96¢

Spread

94¢

Reported volume

$545

Family rank

#11 of 16

16 outcomes · KXWCSQUAD-26ARG

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 96¢

Kalshi
94¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
2¢15
AskSize
96¢105
97¢305
98¢100
99¢1

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Franco Mastantuono is selected for the final squad for the Argentina national team for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 16, 2026

Identifier

KXWCSQUAD-26ARG-FMAS

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 22¢, +5¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Squad Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCSQUAD series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.