Kalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2028 meeting?

Cut 25bps

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread19.0%

This Market

19.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

19.0%

Yes

Yes19.0%

No81.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$706

Open Interest

$476

Trade on Kalshi

19.0%+26.67%

Yes

High

28.0%

Low

12.0%

Open

15.0%

Kalshi•28 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+5.0%

24H

+5.0%

0.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

14¢

Best Ask

20¢

Spread

6¢

SizePriceTotal

10014¢100

SizePriceTotal

10020¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL19¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY19¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY19¢$1Anonymous

Just nowSELL19¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY23¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL15¢$92Anonymous

Just nowSELL16¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL15¢$7Anonymous

Just nowBUY22¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY21¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY23¢$3Anonymous

Just nowSELL16¢$5Anonymous

Just nowSELL15¢$6Anonymous

Just nowBUY22¢$8Anonymous

Just nowBUY24¢$3Anonymous

Buys: 8Sells: 7

15 trades

Time to Resolution

786 days

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/2/2026, 3:15:51 AM

Market ID

KXFEDDECISION-28JAN-C25

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 2 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	19.0%	$706	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$1,232,569	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

100%

$1,232,569 volumeView →

Polymarket

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

100%

$235,065,167 volumeView →