This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Infinex's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Infinex (https://infinex.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
$200M | 76.7% |
$300M | 28.5% |
$400M | 16.5% |
$600M | 8.5% |
$800M | 3.5% |
$1B | 2.5% |
$2B | 0.4% |
Current$3B | 0.4% |
$5B | 0.1% |