Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
This contract is priced at 17¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 16¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$2.9M
Best sibling
Vinícius Júnior 1¢
Ticker
0x12dc2b61…d06a
Market snapshot
Harry Kane in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $858. In the Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 family, this outcome ranks #2 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Harry Kane
Family rank
#2 of 16
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
17¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Oct 31, 2026
24h volume
$858
Family context
16 outcomes · Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
Quote range
0¢-20¢
Family leader
Ousmane Dembélé 20¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: 0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06a. Family volume: $2.9M.
Price history
17¢ current
−9¢Orderbook snapshot
16 / 18¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Oct 31, 2026
Identifier
0x12dc2b61…d06a
Event family
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2.9M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Ousmane Dembélé 20¢
Current share
24%
Harry Kane
polymarket · 0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06a
Vinícius Júnior
polymarket · 0x92546439b64eb75474e85860546f9b46d5965be9f6b39d834b5d952f25137ec0
Ousmane Dembélé
polymarket · 0x26f410f7518fa199678ef57f02637fc88be9b3b593346b00946d7ea451f4521b
Pedri
polymarket · 0x1eac56852d62aec470b9151ac79496384afc0cb0b8a1be56aee07540765f4628
Erling Haaland
polymarket · 0xc89266786402aaabe78111eb91c6764d86857bbc4427c82b91d60a5ef69a70d0
Jude Bellingham
polymarket · 0xaa95b8ce7b2c7f04102c173447ef24a8724bed88687442ab8742a73aa7bafeff
Mohamed Salah
polymarket · 0xf6f3ab86ba22d9d362e2429701722f15115e4a10a3d790c18f88df2ddff7f4ed
Kylian Mbappé
polymarket · 0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1
Lamine Yamal
polymarket · 0xa34edb6c898232378a9cc08744842df2cd89d278ba45b012bed3ac10c7241c4d
Michael Olise
polymarket · 0x3d5321854a1571f6f9f27fd6a87fbefdde464260a19b03404d2eb9d97f3d2b06
Cole Palmer
polymarket · 0xd5a0dc324b2c8af715850bc34fe2b1089e7627103b92a9ec7aba79cbf9117943
Vitinha
polymarket · 0x1bc81406764e3a1f4bb86c9bfe054f7c230902f40bcd7f682f6d79a2a0f7dc38
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
polymarket · 0x9f50939c394897a984d04522b61cf62da5aaa7fc50a2b3da362accaeffe38078
Declan Rice
polymarket · 0x36d6b5a0d75f0759c747b41afb84d86fff70db2b2eebaeb3bea92fe444de934f
Cristiano Ronaldo
polymarket · 0xba753e4c9435984f5e286c3fd3480c41f0205d040f7455ef0c7e9c4e163f3892
Luis Diaz
polymarket · 0x29ef2d589755bce48cd5c880ad51c2e814e56725f58232bc26d2f95e0ef7929a
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
sports
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