SimpleFunctions

Bosnia and Herzegovina · Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia

Bosnia and Herzegovina is priced at 56¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 55¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia.

Price history

56¢ current

55¢60¢
May 28, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 29, 2026 If Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Outcome

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Bosnia and Herzegovina 55¢

Range

19¢-55¢

Family volume

$77K

Identifier

0xc68eb69c...619b

May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

56¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

55¢

Ask

56¢

Spread

24h volume

$56K

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia

Closes

May 29, 2026

Family volume

$77K

Orderbook snapshot

55 / 56¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
55¢339
54¢194
53¢829
52¢318
51¢809
50¢1.4K
49¢1.0K
43¢20
AskSize
56¢80
57¢614
58¢9.3K
59¢3.3K
60¢1.4K
61¢334
62¢324
63¢284

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 29, 2026 If Bosnia and Herzegovina wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

0xc68eb69c…619b

SF Signal
SF Index
49090.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$77K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Bosnia and Herzegovina 55¢

Current share

75%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

Overround

0.0%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
Overround
0.0%
LAS
0.02

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.