Kalshi

Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate Republican primary before Mar 3, 2026?

:: Texas Senate

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread5.5%

This Market

15.0%

Polymarket

9.5%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

15.0%

Yes

Yes15.0%

No85.0%

24h Volume

$354

Total Volume

$30,711

Open Interest

$11,476

Trade on Kalshi

15.0%-58.33%

Yes

High

44.0%

Low

7.0%

Open

36.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+7.0%

24H

+8.0%

+7.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

7¢

Best Ask

8¢

Spread

1¢

SizePriceTotal

1007¢100

SizePriceTotal

1008¢100

Bid Depth: 100Ask Depth: 100

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowSELL8¢$150Anonymous

Just nowSELL13¢$18Anonymous

Just nowBUY12¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY9¢$82Anonymous

Just nowBUY8¢$64Anonymous

Just nowBUY8¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY8¢$21Anonymous

Just nowSELL7¢$20Anonymous

Just nowSELL7¢$151Anonymous

Just nowBUY9¢$14Anonymous

Just nowBUY9¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY9¢$103Anonymous

Just nowBUY8¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY8¢$9Anonymous

Buys: 11Sells: 4

15 trades

Time to Resolution

9h 47m

⚠️ Resolving Soon

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated2/27/2026, 10:44:55 PM

Market ID

KXTRUMPENDORSE-26SEP15-KPAX

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	15.0%	$30,711	Trade
Polymarket	9.5%	$1,957,986	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

91%

$1,957,986 volumeView →