Kalshi

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?

Hike 25bps

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread8.0%

This Market

8.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

8.0%

Yes

Yes8.0%

No92.0%

24h Volume

Total Volume

$502

Open Interest

$502

Trade on Kalshi

8.0%+Infinity%

Yes

High

8.0%

Low

0.0%

Open

0.0%

Kalshi•19 data points

Live

Price Momentum

+8.0%

24H

+8.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

0¢

Best Ask

4¢

Spread

0¢

SizePriceTotal

No bids

SizePriceTotal

1004¢100

Bid Depth: 0Ask Depth: 100

1 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY8¢$5Anonymous

Just nowBUY8¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$187Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$100Anonymous

Just nowBUY3¢$200Anonymous

Buys: 5Sells: 0

5 trades

Time to Resolution

421 days

Liquidity Score

1/5

Low

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated3/3/2026, 2:56:09 AM

Market ID

KXFEDDECISION-27JAN-H25

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 1 similar market on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “No”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	8.0%	$502	Trade
Polymarket	0.0%	$216,455,743	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

100%

$216,455,743 volumeView →