Kalshi

Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026?

Above 4000

⚡

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Spread64.0%

This Market

64.0%

Polymarket

0.0%

Consider buying on Polymarket at lower price

Kalshiactive

64.0%

Yes

Yes64.0%

No36.0%

24h Volume

$1,121

Total Volume

$33,148

Open Interest

$22,794

Trade on Kalshi

64.0%+255.56%

Yes

High

65.0%

Low

18.0%

Open

18.0%

Kalshi•30 data points

Live

Price Momentum

0.0%

24H

-1.0%

+28.0%

Order Book

kalshi

Best Bid

61¢

Best Ask

64¢

Spread

3¢

SizePriceTotal

9.5M61¢9.5M

SizePriceTotal

9.5M64¢9.5M

Bid Depth: 9.5MAsk Depth: 9.5M

2 levels

Recent Trades

kalshi

TimeSidePriceSizeTrader

Just nowBUY63¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY64¢$4Anonymous

Just nowBUY63¢$2Anonymous

Just nowBUY64¢$3Anonymous

Just nowBUY63¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY62¢$10Anonymous

Just nowBUY63¢$1Anonymous

Just nowBUY64¢$42Anonymous

Just nowBUY64¢$28Anonymous

Just nowBUY65¢$27Anonymous

Just nowBUY64¢$16Anonymous

Just nowBUY64¢$4Anonymous

Just nowSELL61¢$30Anonymous

Just nowSELL62¢$45Anonymous

Just nowSELL60¢$75Anonymous

Buys: 12Sells: 3

15 trades

Time to Resolution

714 days

Liquidity Score

3/5

Medium

Market Details

VenueKalshi

Statusactive

Outcome Typebinary

Last Updated1/16/2026, 8:32:52 AM

Market ID

KXMEASLES-26-4000

⚡

Cross-Platform Match

Found 5 similar markets on other platforms.

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Outcome: “Yes”

Venue	Price	Volume	Action
KalshiCurrent	64.0%	$33,148	Trade
Polymarket	96.8%	$6,715	Trade

Same Market on Other Platforms

Polymarket

Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026?

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Will there be more than 4000 measles cases in 2026?

Arbitrage Opportunity Detected

Price Momentum

Order Book

Recent Trades

Market Details

Cross-Platform Match

Cross-Platform Comparison

Cross-Platform Prices

Same Market on Other Platforms

Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will there be at least 1700 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?