Calvin Lee · CA-34 Primary Winners
Calvin Lee is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside CA-34 Primary Winners.
Price history
8¢ current
−3¢Contract brief
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 34th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Calvin Lee
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
Jimmy Gomez 96¢
Range
1¢-96¢
Family volume
$7K
Identifier
0x1d5dc6fa...c921
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
6¢
Ask
10¢
Spread
4¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · CA-34 Primary Winners
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$7K
Orderbook snapshot
6 / 10¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 34th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0x1d5dc6fa…c921
Event family
CA-34 Primary Winners.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Jimmy Gomez 96¢
Current share
20%
Jimmy Gomez
polymarket · 0xc785b7bd404b24b833f55dff284ca3a18c18103d957f799d97c13f0fbfb941db
Angela Gonzales-Torres
polymarket · 0x2595374069c3144f77b50cf92608a94f3a02dc59a14dd7d3a52ae32d24dfdb0e
Calvin Lee
polymarket · 0x1d5dc6fabe350f9ac5e5bdfd7090e772afcf8724e3a778923590e0d7d472c921
Robert Lucero
polymarket · 0xe05c257921a6f33f100330234d30f92e159d3c760a15b4cadc7623b1d102eeb4
Loren Colin
polymarket · 0x667742d55ee05a68ac031e2b97d94accd7fc6128884548378a4469daa06624ca
Arthur Dixon
polymarket · 0x51971bef5d63df4c949f019ded2ac1b51863f3fae7ba10c9868d8801e1ed9313
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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