CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) for Spread
CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) is priced at 38¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 37¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 11 inside CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets.
Price history
38¢ current
Contract brief
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Boca Juniors" if CA Boca Juniors win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CD Universidad Católica". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)
Rank
#5 of 11
Leader
O/U 0.5 93¢
Range
1¢-93¢
Family volume
$9K
Identifier
0x3c7fc9a0...bb2b
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
37¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 11
11 outcomes · CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$9K
Orderbook snapshot
37 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for May 28 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CA Boca Juniors" if CA Boca Juniors win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "CD Universidad Católica". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
0x3c7fc9a0…bb2b
Event family
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica - More Markets.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
O/U 0.5 93¢
Current share
38%
O/U 0.5
polymarket · 0xd3c7ad820a5975023efe3dc9cd33f0cf60c0e045a57af705b37fdd37bced8e24
O/U 1.5
polymarket · 0x4ce9fdeea89e6bd09aa5024adb7d89bcb5544f0aa308c5a09977050d5b69ce2b
O/U 2.5
polymarket · 0xf5d3ac667ed7d857289b15e836d0dc7837eabacdc2767b6ca59769a63961795c
Both Teams to Score
polymarket · 0xe06e53a092852c2c82afc137aab8085634f3cc968a5cac30c3596acf50d046bf
CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)
polymarket · 0x3c7fc9a09c432c73d87eef6d721ab9b3c376e04571df85f85ed02feaf2e7bb2b
O/U 3.5
polymarket · 0xbf40562d0c3e421191825fab8b71d1b635849cfe0c8be6b7fbc4776e7d6f2616
CA Boca Juniors (-2.5)
polymarket · 0xe1eb6d92ec34a676ac4ee6c43c36a782ed12594dcc605376207b190ca36d66fc
O/U 4.5
polymarket · 0x06c31acd256cea2f8ac6e4f77b469ba2c3dcc715356e68918fdd1815216354a9
O/U 5.5
polymarket · 0xcbaa07fae669e29438214a873db3a80110efc85c8b4cb15e5315390ca0e9ea7b
CD Universidad Católica (-1.5)
polymarket · 0xce5ecfe0cb6dcb7bdebe9b0c1f9b9b8cd595b99b5353cb4f524262718af41a96
CD Universidad Católica (-2.5)
polymarket · 0x1f2fa2bfa8ec332b3e9b25ac7e166a0444a3b31b11fb0a0990237585ae2613a3
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.